Annagh United 1-0 Ballinamallard United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

Annagh United
1-0
Ballinamallard United
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Annagh United vs Ballinamallard United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
4.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.9
6+ Goals
10%
8.39
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.51 — our 25% vs market 17.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.9pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Annagh United v Ballinamallard United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annagh United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 24%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +11%
0.97/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.54
-56% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Annagh United vs Ballinamallard United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annagh United
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Ballinamallard United
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-0 HT 0-0 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
13.10.2023 Annagh United Annagh United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
25.03.2023 Annagh United Annagh United 0-2 HT 0-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
02.01.2023 Annagh United Annagh United 4-0 HT 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
08.10.2022 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-3 HT 0-0 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Annagh United vs Ballinamallard United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annagh United squeezed past Ballinamallard United 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Annagh United as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Annagh United and 0.80 for Ballinamallard United.

What was the final score of Annagh United vs Ballinamallard United?

Annagh United 1-0 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annagh United vs Ballinamallard United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Annagh United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Annagh United 54%, draw 22%, Ballinamallard United 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Annagh United), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Annagh United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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