Bangor FC 3-1 Institute FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.57
Draw
30%
4.19
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.53
No
38%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.76
2-3 Goals
38%
2.04
4-5 Goals
28%
2.61
6+ Goals
12%
6.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
59%
-18.1pp
30%
Draw
21%
+8.9pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+9.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
61%
+1.0pp
38%
BTTS No
39%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangor FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Institute FC EU Bookmakers 23%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
2.05/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.37
-5% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +53%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
406 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bangor FC
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Institute FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Bangor FC Bangor FC KİRL1
21.10.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 4-0 HT 1-0 Bangor FC Bangor FC KİRL1
02.09.2023 Bangor FC Bangor FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Bangor FC vs Institute FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangor FC got the better of Institute FC 3-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bangor FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Institute FC led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bangor FC and 2.00 for Institute FC.

What was the final score of Bangor FC vs Institute FC?

Bangor FC 3-1 Institute FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangor FC vs Institute FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bangor FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bangor FC 41%, draw 30%, Institute FC 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangor FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bangor FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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