Institute FC 1-1 Bangor FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

Institute FC
1-1 HT 1-1
Bangor FC
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Institute FC vs Bangor FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.82
6+ Goals
9%
7.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.2pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Institute FC v Bangor FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangor FC EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.16/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/1.52
-35% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5

Institute FC vs Bangor FC Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Bangor FC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 4-0 HT 1-0 Bangor FC Bangor FC KİRL1
02.09.2023 Bangor FC Bangor FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Bangor FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC and Bangor FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Institute FC had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Institute FC and 0.50 for Bangor FC.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Bangor FC?

Institute FC 1-1 Bangor FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Bangor FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Institute FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 38%, draw 23%, Bangor FC 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/23/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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