Ballinamallard United 0-5 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

Ballinamallard United
0-5 HT 0-5
Ards FC
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Ballinamallard United vs Ards FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.93
2-3 Goals
43%
1.94
4-5 Goals
21%
2.78
6+ Goals
12%
7.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.2pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ballinamallard United v Ards FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.80/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/2.08
-10% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
366 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7

Ballinamallard United vs Ards FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ards FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.01.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
09.12.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
07.10.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-1 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
03.10.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-5 Ards FC Ards FC KILK
14.01.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-0 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
05.11.2022 Ards FC Ards FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ards FC cruised past Ballinamallard United 5-0 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ballinamallard United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ballinamallard United and 1.67 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Ards FC?

Ballinamallard United 0-5 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballinamallard United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 46%, draw 25%, Ards FC 29%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ballinamallard United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ballinamallard United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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