Newington Youth 2-3 Armagh City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
36%
3.64
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.03
Over 2.5
59%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.57
2-3 Goals
33%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
32%
3.07
6+ Goals
12%
10.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.07 — our 32% vs market 25.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
35%
-5.1pp
36%
Draw
24%
+12.0pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-6.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
45%
-4.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
55%
+4.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.2pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Armagh City EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.30/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.32
-21% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newington Youth
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Armagh City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
05.10.2024 Armagh City Armagh City 0-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
POST-MATCH Newington Youth vs Armagh City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Armagh City edged past Newington Youth 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (30% / 36% / 34%) promised a tight game; Armagh City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Newington Youth vs Armagh City?

Newington Youth 2-3 Armagh City in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newington Youth vs Armagh City?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Newington Youth 30%, draw 36%, Armagh City 34%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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