Limavady United 0-1 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.07
Over 2.5
61%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.65
2-3 Goals
33%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
35%
3.02
6+ Goals
12%
9.93
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.02 — our 35% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+0.3pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.9pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
44%
-5.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
56%
+5.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Limavady United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.69/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/1.88
-17% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
398 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Limavady United
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Ards FC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
22.11.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 2-0 Limavady United Limavady United KİRL1
10.08.2024 Limavady United Limavady United 0-3 HT 0-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Limavady United vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ards FC nicked a narrow win over Limavady United 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Limavady United at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ards FC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Limavady United and 2.50 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Limavady United vs Ards FC?

Limavady United 0-1 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Limavady United vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Limavady United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Limavady United 52%, draw 20%, Ards FC 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Limavady United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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