Institute FC 1-1 Newry City AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 15 Feb 2025

Institute FC
1-1
Newry City AFC
📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Institute FC vs Newry City AFC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.02
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
2.85
6+ Goals
13%
8.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-8.7pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.2pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Institute FC v Newry City AFC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 23%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.06/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.78
+1% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
416 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Institute FC vs Newry City AFC Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Newry City AFC
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.10.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 2-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
16.10.2021 Institute FC Institute FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
14.08.2021 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 5-1 HT 4-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
29.10.2019 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-1 HT 0-1 Institute FC Institute FC KILK
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Newry City AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC and Newry City AFC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Institute FC at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Institute FC and 1.75 for Newry City AFC.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Newry City AFC?

Institute FC 1-1 Newry City AFC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Newry City AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Institute FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 50%, draw 26%, Newry City AFC 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Institute FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Institute FC) ✓ BTTS Yes
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