Institute FC 0-0 Ballinamallard United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 16 Sep 2025

📅16/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.85
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 27% vs market 19.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+1.4pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.8pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.2pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -5%
1.59/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.06
-21% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ballinamallard United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
01.03.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
19.10.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 2-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
14.09.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-2 HT 1-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
10.02.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-0 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
24.11.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Ballinamallard United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC and Ballinamallard United played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Institute FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Institute FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Institute FC and 0.67 for Ballinamallard United.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Ballinamallard United?

Institute FC 0-0 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 16/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Ballinamallard United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Institute FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 48%, draw 21%, Ballinamallard United 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Institute FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Institute FC) ✓ BTTS No
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