Armagh City 2-4 Newington Youth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 16 Sep 2025

📅16/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.53
No
38%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.76
6+ Goals
15%
7.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+5.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
61%
+1.2pp
38%
BTTS No
39%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Armagh City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +19%
2.21/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.60
+24% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Armagh City
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Newington Youth
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
05.04.2025 Armagh City Armagh City 3-3 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
15.02.2025 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-3 Armagh City Armagh City KİRL1
05.10.2024 Armagh City Armagh City 0-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
POST-MATCH Armagh City vs Newington Youth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newington Youth got the better of Armagh City 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Newington Youth made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Armagh City and 2.00 for Newington Youth.

What was the final score of Armagh City vs Newington Youth?

Armagh City 2-4 Newington Youth in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 16/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Armagh City vs Newington Youth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newington Youth win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Armagh City 36%, draw 23%, Newington Youth 40%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newington Youth), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newington Youth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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