Ballinamallard United 2-2 Institute FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.59
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.9pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Institute FC EU Bookmakers 39%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.79/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.69
+3% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Institute FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
16.09.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
05.04.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
01.03.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
19.10.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 2-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
14.09.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-2 HT 1-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
10.02.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-0 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Institute FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United and Institute FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Institute FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ballinamallard United and 0.83 for Institute FC.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Institute FC?

Ballinamallard United 2-2 Institute FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Institute FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballinamallard United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 38%, draw 24%, Institute FC 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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