Ards FC 1-1 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.97
Over 2.5
60%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.24
6+ Goals
14%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.8pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
45%
Away Win
45%
+0.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
47%
-7.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
53%
+7.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.1pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 49%
-12% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
1.23/2.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.93
-13% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
271 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Loughgall FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
01.03.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRK
08.04.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 5-0 HT 2-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
18.02.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
29.10.2022 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 6-1 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
19.08.2022 Ards FC Ards FC 0-5 HT 0-3 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ards FC and Loughgall FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Loughgall FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Loughgall FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ards FC and 3.33 for Loughgall FC.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Loughgall FC?

Ards FC 1-1 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Loughgall FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 32%, draw 22%, Loughgall FC 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Loughgall FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Loughgall FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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