Ards FC 2-0 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.2pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Loughgall FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.04.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 5-0 HT 2-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
18.02.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
29.10.2022 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 6-1 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
19.08.2022 Ards FC Ards FC 0-5 HT 0-3 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
23.10.2021 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
10.08.2021 Ards FC Ards FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ards FC
2-0
AWAY Loughgall FC
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ards FC got the better of Loughgall FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Ards FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ards FC had 36% of the ball to Loughgall FC's 64%, shots finished 6-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Loughgall FC led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ards FC and 3.50 for Loughgall FC.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Loughgall FC?

Ards FC 2-0 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - Cup on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Loughgall FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 37%, draw 24%, Loughgall FC 38%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Loughgall FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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