Carrick Rangers 1-3 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.1pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-36% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
15.02.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-1 HT 3-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
23.11.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-1 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
28.09.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 4-0 HT 2-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
06.04.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-2 HT 3-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
17.02.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-1 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
11.11.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-3 HT 1-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrick Rangers
1-3
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts saw off Carrick Rangers 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Dungannon Swifts found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Carrick Rangers had 51% of the ball to Dungannon Swifts's 49%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dungannon Swifts led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Carrick Rangers and 2.33 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts?

Carrick Rangers 1-3 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Cup on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 32%, draw 30%, Dungannon Swifts 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dungannon Swifts), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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