Crusaders FC 1-2 Cliftonville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.9pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 38%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-32% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
341 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
6.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cliftonville
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.12.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
01.11.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 1-0 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
24.08.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
16.04.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
26.12.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 2-1 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
25.11.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-0 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crusaders FC
1-2
AWAY Cliftonville
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Cliftonville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville squeezed past Crusaders FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Cliftonville found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Crusaders FC had 52% of the ball to Cliftonville's 48%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cliftonville led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Crusaders FC and 1.33 for Cliftonville.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Cliftonville?

Crusaders FC 1-2 Cliftonville in the North Ireland - Cup on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Cliftonville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 38%, draw 26%, Cliftonville 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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