Dungannon Swifts 3-1 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.05
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.45
6+ Goals
7%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 30% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.68
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.75
X/1
13%
4.53
X/2
8%
7.33
X/X
14%
4.81
2/1
5%
24.3
2/2
9%
5.6
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.8pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.3pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.4pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 30%
+11% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
2.27/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.86
+47% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-1 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
28.09.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 4-0 HT 2-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
06.04.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-2 HT 3-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
17.02.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-1 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
11.11.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-3 HT 1-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
01.09.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-1 HT 1-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts saw off Carrick Rangers 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dungannon Swifts as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 1.50 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers?

Dungannon Swifts 3-1 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 43%, draw 31%, Carrick Rangers 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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