Portadown FC 2-0 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 15 Feb 2025

Portadown FC
2-0 HT 2-0
Larne FC
📅15/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2024/2025

Portadown FC vs Larne FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.35
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
15%
4.52
6+ Goals
6%
25.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.35 — our 37% vs market 34.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
4.9
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
7%
14.4
X/1
16%
6.2
X/2 EV+ ✗
25%
4.83
X/X
15%
3.91
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
11%
3.35
2/X
6%
13.9
Value flag · X/2 at 4.83 — our 25% vs market 16.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.3pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portadown FC v Larne FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.06/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.96
-15% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
258 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

Portadown FC vs Larne FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portadown FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Larne FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
01.02.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
27.10.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
24.01.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
12.11.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-5 HT 0-2 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
17.09.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
29.01.2022 Larne FC Larne FC 4-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Portadown FC vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC saw off Larne FC 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Larne FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Portadown FC and 2.33 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Portadown FC vs Larne FC?

Portadown FC 2-0 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portadown FC vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Portadown FC 31%, draw 28%, Larne FC 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Larne FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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