Crusaders FC 3-1 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
14.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.53
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
12%
4.39
X/2
12%
7.84
X/X
15%
4.82
2/1
6%
24.3
2/2
15%
6.14
2/X
7%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
50%
-12.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+9.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +13%
1.70/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.32
+7% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
296 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Ballymena United
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
20.08.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-1 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
09.03.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-4 HT 2-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
13.10.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
11.08.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-2 HT 0-2 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
07.05.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-4 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRK
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC beat Ballymena United 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Crusaders FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Crusaders FC and 0.50 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Ballymena United?

Crusaders FC 3-1 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 37%, draw 28%, Ballymena United 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crusaders FC), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
15 Feb 2025
18:00 Linfield FC vs Loughgall FC Analysis →
18:00 Glenavon FC vs Cliftonville Analysis →
18:00 Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers Analysis →
20:30 Portadown FC vs Larne FC Analysis →