Loughgall FC 1-1 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
2.93
6+ Goals
14%
9.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
53%
+2.5pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +21%
2.29/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/1.69
+15% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +13%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loughgall FC
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Ards FC
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRK
08.04.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 5-0 HT 2-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
18.02.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
29.10.2022 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 6-1 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
19.08.2022 Ards FC Ards FC 0-5 HT 0-3 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
23.10.2021 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Loughgall FC vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loughgall FC and Ards FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Loughgall FC at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Loughgall FC had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Loughgall FC and 0.50 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Loughgall FC vs Ards FC?

Loughgall FC 1-1 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loughgall FC vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Loughgall FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Loughgall FC 56%, draw 21%, Ards FC 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Loughgall FC) ✗ Over 2.5
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