Newington Youth 3-0 Warrenpoint Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.4
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
2.72
6+ Goals
13%
7.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Warrenpoint Town EU Bookmakers 28%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.64/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.15/1.10
+37% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -90% / +73%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newington Youth
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Warrenpoint Town
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.01.2023 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
11.01.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-4 HT 0-2 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
03.12.2022 Newington Youth Newington Youth 0-1 HT 0-1 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
13.09.2022 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 1-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KILK
POST-MATCH Newington Youth vs Warrenpoint Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newington Youth cruised past Warrenpoint Town 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Newington Youth as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Warrenpoint Town led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Newington Youth and 2.00 for Warrenpoint Town.

What was the final score of Newington Youth vs Warrenpoint Town?

Newington Youth 3-0 Warrenpoint Town in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newington Youth vs Warrenpoint Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newington Youth win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Newington Youth 46%, draw 26%, Warrenpoint Town 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newington Youth), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newington Youth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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