Turan Tovuz 2-1 Qabala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 13 Feb 2024

Turan Tovuz
2-1 HT 1-0
Qabala
📅13/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2023/2024

Turan Tovuz vs Qabala Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
2.02
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
46%
+7.5pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.7pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Turan Tovuz v Qabala — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Qabala EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -9%
2.08/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.38
+88% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Turan Tovuz vs Qabala Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Turan Tovuz
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Qabala
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Qabala Qabala 4-0 HT 1-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
17.09.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-2 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
13.05.2023 Qabala Qabala 1-2 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
11.03.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-1 HT 1-1 Qabala Qabala AZERS
24.12.2022 Qabala Qabala 0-0 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
08.08.2022 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 0-2 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
POST-MATCH Turan Tovuz vs Qabala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Turan Tovuz squeezed past Qabala 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Turan Tovuz as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Qabala led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Turan Tovuz and 1.67 for Qabala.

What was the final score of Turan Tovuz vs Qabala?

Turan Tovuz 2-1 Qabala in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Turan Tovuz vs Qabala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Turan Tovuz 53%, draw 19%, Qabala 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Turan Tovuz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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