Khalidiya 4-1 Sitra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
3.37
2-3 Goals
32%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.44
6+ Goals
7%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 37% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.1pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.7pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+9.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.1pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sitra EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.25/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.90
+55% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +72%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khalidiya
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Sitra
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2023 Sitra Sitra 0-2 HT 0-1 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
15.03.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 2-2 HT 1-1 Sitra Sitra BAH
12.10.2022 Khalidiya Khalidiya 0-0 HT 0-0 Sitra Sitra BAHKK
05.10.2022 Sitra Sitra 1-2 HT 0-2 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khalidiya
4-1
AWAY Sitra
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Khalidiya vs Sitra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khalidiya cruised past Sitra 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Khalidiya as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Khalidiya had 47% of the ball to Sitra's 53%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Khalidiya had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Khalidiya and 0.75 for Sitra.

What was the final score of Khalidiya vs Sitra?

Khalidiya 4-1 Sitra in the Bahrain - Premier League on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khalidiya vs Sitra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Khalidiya win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Khalidiya 53%, draw 19%, Sitra 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Khalidiya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Khalidiya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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