Muharraq 3-2 Al Hadd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.75
2-3 Goals
45%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.18
6+ Goals
8%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 25% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muharraq EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hadd EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.20/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.55
-30% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muharraq
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Hadd
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
22.09.2023 Al Hadd Al Hadd 1-2 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
11.09.2022 Muharraq Muharraq 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Hadd Al Hadd BAH
02.04.2022 Al Hadd Al Hadd 1-1 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAHK
19.02.2022 Al Hadd Al Hadd 0-1 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
13.01.2022 Al Hadd Al Hadd 0-2 HT 0-1 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
08.12.2021 Muharraq Muharraq 5-0 Al Hadd Al Hadd BAHFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muharraq
3-2
AWAY Al Hadd
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Muharraq vs Al Hadd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq nicked a narrow win over Al Hadd 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Muharraq as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Muharraq had 63% of the ball to Al Hadd's 37%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Muharraq had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Muharraq and 0.33 for Al Hadd.

What was the final score of Muharraq vs Al Hadd?

Muharraq 3-2 Al Hadd in the Bahrain - Premier League on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muharraq vs Al Hadd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Muharraq 46%, draw 28%, Al Hadd 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muharraq), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muharraq) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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