El Gounah 2-2 Al Masry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.41
6+ Goals
8%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Gounah EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Masry EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.08/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.12
-5% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
21.5 Crosses 17.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Gounah
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Masry
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.70 xG 1.48
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
252 Passes 250
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.06.2022 Al Masry Al Masry 1-0 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
22.11.2021 El Gounah El Gounah 0-3 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
11.04.2021 Al Masry Al Masry 1-0 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
17.12.2020 El Gounah El Gounah 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
05.10.2020 El Gounah El Gounah 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
29.01.2020 Al Masry Al Masry 1-2 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Gounah
2-2
AWAY Al Masry
0.26 xG 1.68
28% Ball Possession 72%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
127 Passes 462
58% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH El Gounah vs Al Masry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Gounah and Al Masry couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, El Gounah had 28% of the ball to Al Masry's 72%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.26 to 1.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Masry led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for El Gounah and 1.50 for Al Masry.

What was the final score of El Gounah vs Al Masry?

El Gounah 2-2 Al Masry in the Egypt - Premier League on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Gounah vs Al Masry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Masry win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split El Gounah 33%, draw 28%, Al Masry 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Masry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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13 Feb 2024
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