Smouha 1-1 National Bank of Egypt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.55
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.52
6+ Goals
9%
24.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smouha EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY National Bank of Egypt EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
1.36/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.09
+16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -6%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
16.8 Crosses 18.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smouha
1W-4D-1L
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.72 xG 1.36
52% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
253 Passes 223
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.02.2023 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 2-2 HT 1-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
25.10.2022 Smouha Smouha 1-1 HT 1-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
17.07.2022 Smouha Smouha 0-1 HT 0-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
10.02.2022 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 1-2 HT 0-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
26.05.2021 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 2-2 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
12.01.2021 Smouha Smouha 2-2 HT 1-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smouha
1-1
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
1.72 xG 0.55
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
353 Passes 343
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Smouha vs National Bank of Egypt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smouha and National Bank of Egypt couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Smouha had 51% of the ball to National Bank of Egypt's 49%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.72 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Smouha and 1.50 for National Bank of Egypt.

What was the final score of Smouha vs National Bank of Egypt?

Smouha 1-1 National Bank of Egypt in the Egypt - Premier League on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smouha vs National Bank of Egypt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Smouha 36%, draw 28%, National Bank of Egypt 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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