Panaitolikos 0-1 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.27
6+ Goals
9%
21.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.24
1/2
5%
28.0
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1 EV+ ✗
18%
6.66
X/2
12%
4.42
X/X
10%
4.08
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
22%
2.95
2/X
7%
13.6
Value flag · X/1 at 6.66 — our 18% vs market 10.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
28%
+8.9pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.0pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 48%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
2.91/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.01
+150% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
230 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panaitolikos
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.76 xG 2.21
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
246 Passes 470
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-4 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
24.09.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-0 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
29.12.2022 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-0 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
28.08.2022 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 3-1 HT 1-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
30.01.2022 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-2 HT 0-2 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
24.10.2021 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 5-1 HT 4-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panaitolikos
0-1
AWAY Aris Saloniki
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Panaitolikos vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki nicked a narrow win over Panaitolikos 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 39% — and on the day Aris Saloniki made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Panaitolikos had 43% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 57%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Panaitolikos and 2.67 for Aris Saloniki.

What was the final score of Panaitolikos vs Aris Saloniki?

Panaitolikos 0-1 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Cup on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panaitolikos vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Panaitolikos 37%, draw 24%, Aris Saloniki 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aris Saloniki), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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