Panaitolikos 0-4 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 14 Jan 2024

Panaitolikos
0-4 HT 0-1
Aris Saloniki
📅14/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

Panaitolikos vs Aris Saloniki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.53
Draw
22%
2.88
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.26
2-3 Goals
34%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
5.22
6+ Goals
9%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.0
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1 EV+ ✗
20%
5.27
X/2
11%
5.41
X/X
9%
3.53
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
16%
4.15
2/X
5%
13.7
Value flag · X/1 at 5.27 — our 20% vs market 14.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
36%
+9.1pp
22%
Draw
31%
-9.2pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-7.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+7.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Panaitolikos v Aris Saloniki — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.08/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.30
-3% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
248 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
19.9 Crosses 15.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4

Panaitolikos vs Aris Saloniki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panaitolikos
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.64 xG 1.98
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
242 Passes 483
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-0 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
29.12.2022 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-0 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
28.08.2022 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 3-1 HT 1-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
30.01.2022 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-2 HT 0-2 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
24.10.2021 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 5-1 HT 4-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
14.02.2021 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 0-0 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN

Panaitolikos 0-4 Aris Saloniki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panaitolikos
0-4
AWAY Aris Saloniki
0.82 xG 1.90
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
257 Passes 400
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Panaitolikos vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki cruised past Panaitolikos 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Panaitolikos at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Panaitolikos had 42% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 58%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 0.82 to 1.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Panaitolikos and 2.00 for Aris Saloniki.

What was the final score of Panaitolikos vs Aris Saloniki?

Panaitolikos 0-4 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panaitolikos vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panaitolikos win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Panaitolikos 45%, draw 22%, Aris Saloniki 33%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Panaitolikos), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Panaitolikos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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