PAOK 4-0 PAS Giannina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 14 Jan 2024

PAOK
4-0 HT 1-0
PAS Giannina
📅14/01/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

PAOK vs PAS Giannina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.29
Draw
24%
5.15
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
9.68
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 26% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.51
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
25.5
X/1
23%
3.21
X/2
6%
19.3
X/X
12%
7.69
2/1
11%
23.45
2/2
4%
16.05
2/X
6%
25.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
73%
-10.9pp
24%
Draw
16%
+7.3pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PAOK v PAS Giannina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY PAS Giannina EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.89/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.27
+6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +9%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
478 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 197 · 69%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
20.5 Crosses 10.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

PAOK vs PAS Giannina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAOK
4W-1D-1L
AWAY PAS Giannina
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.23 xG 0.55
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
533 Passes 242
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.09.2023 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 1-3 HT 1-2 PAOK PAOK YUN
25.02.2023 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 0-0 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
05.11.2022 PAOK PAOK 2-0 HT 2-0 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN
08.05.2022 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 1-0 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
13.03.2022 PAOK PAOK 1-0 HT 0-0 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN
15.12.2021 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 0-4 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN

PAOK 4-0 PAS Giannina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
4-0
AWAY PAS Giannina
3.62 xG 0.39
73% Ball Possession 27%
22 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 2
668 Passes 198
91% Pass Accuracy 75%
53 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 11
POST-MATCH PAOK vs PAS Giannina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK ran out comfortable winners over PAS Giannina 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, PAOK had 73% of the ball to PAS Giannina's 27%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 3.62 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for PAOK and 0.33 for PAS Giannina.

What was the final score of PAOK vs PAS Giannina?

PAOK 4-0 PAS Giannina in the Greece - Super League on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs PAS Giannina?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split PAOK 62%, draw 24%, PAS Giannina 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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