Asteras Tripolis 1-0 Volos NFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.38
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.87
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.17
1/2
10%
34.0
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
9%
4.7
X/2
10%
6.78
X/X
10%
3.55
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
14%
5.38
2/X
8%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.7pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Volos NFC EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +24%
1.05/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.09
-18% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
22.6 Crosses 13.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Volos NFC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.98 xG 0.99
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
333 Passes 336
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 1-2 HT 0-2 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
07.08.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 1-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis HAZ
21.12.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-0 HT 0-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
19.08.2022 Volos NFC Volos NFC 3-3 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
19.03.2022 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-2 HT 0-2 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
15.01.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-0 HT 1-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
1-0
AWAY Volos NFC
0.88 xG 1.11
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
329 Passes 190
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
16 Box Touches 16
33 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Volos NFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis squeezed past Volos NFC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Asteras Tripolis as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 60% of the ball to Volos NFC's 40%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.88 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asteras Tripolis had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 0.83 for Volos NFC.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Volos NFC?

Asteras Tripolis 1-0 Volos NFC in the Greece - Super League on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Volos NFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 41%, draw 27%, Volos NFC 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asteras Tripolis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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