Kifisia 2-3 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.95
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
65%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.82
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
29%
3.12
6+ Goals
12%
10.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.12 — our 29% vs market 26.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
16.75
1/2
10%
26.0
1/X
5%
22.15
X/1
4%
19.7
X/2
19%
3.45
X/X
5%
6.37
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
36%
1.53
2/X
9%
20.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
10%
+5.8pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.4pp
65%
Away Win
71%
-5.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kifisia EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 75%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
0.45/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.59
-54% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +48%
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
224 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 83%
12.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
8.3 Crosses 19.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kifisia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Olympiakos
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.21 xG 2.57
27% Ball Possession 73%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 7
162 Passes 551
71% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 34
6 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 4-0 HT 2-0 Kifisia Kifisia YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kifisia
2-3
AWAY Olympiakos
1.13 xG 1.62
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 4
175 Passes 381
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 22
9 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kifisia vs Olympiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos nicked a narrow win over Kifisia 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Olympiakos as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Kifisia had 36% of the ball to Olympiakos's 64%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 1.13 to 1.62.

What was the final score of Kifisia vs Olympiakos?

Kifisia 2-3 Olympiakos in the Greece - Super League on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kifisia vs Olympiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Kifisia 16%, draw 19%, Olympiakos 65%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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