Guadalajara 3-0 Cibao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 13 Feb 2025

📅13/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
66%
1.11
Draw
19%
8.78
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
3.94
Over
66%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.6
No
47%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1
17%
10.5
2-3
39%
2.62
4-5
27%
2.21
6+
17%
2.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Guadalajara win — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
66%
Home Win
85%
-19.1pp
19%
Draw
8%
+10.6pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+8.5pp
34%
Under 2.5
22%
+12.7pp
66%
Over 2.5
78%
-12.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
34%
+18.3pp
47%
BTTS No
66%
-18.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guadalajara The Market 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Cibao The Market 9%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-30% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
477 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 73%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guadalajara
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Cibao
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.19 xG 0.08
73% Ball Possession 27%
23 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
472 Passes 132
87% Pass Accuracy 63%
31 Box Touches 6
30 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.02.2025 Cibao Cibao 1-1 HT 1-0 Guadalajara Guadalajara CON
01.03.2018 Guadalajara Guadalajara 5-0 HT 1-0 Cibao Cibao CON
23.02.2018 Cibao Cibao 0-2 HT 0-1 Guadalajara Guadalajara CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guadalajara
3-0
AWAY Cibao
4.60 xG 0.03
68% Ball Possession 32%
23 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 4
434 Passes 165
88% Pass Accuracy 72%
45 Box Touches 3
28 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guadalajara vs Cibao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guadalajara cruised past Cibao 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

On the day, Guadalajara had 68% of the ball to Cibao's 32%, shots finished 23-2, expected goals 4.60 to 0.03.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Guadalajara had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Guadalajara and 0.33 for Cibao.

What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Cibao?

Guadalajara 3-0 Cibao in the CONCACAF Champions League on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Cibao?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 66%, draw 19%, Cibao 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guadalajara) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CON More CONCACAF Champions League
13 Feb 2025
00:00 Tigres UANL vs Real Esteli Analysis →