Sanat Naft 2-0 Besat Kermanshah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Cup, 13 Feb 2025

📅13/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.4
No
67%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
43%
2.07
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
15%
5.38
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.07 — our 43% vs market 39.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
28%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
+2.4pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.2pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.0pp
33%
BTTS Yes
38%
-4.2pp
67%
BTTS No
62%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanat Naft EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Besat Kermanshah EU Bookmakers 21%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
339 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Sanat Naft vs Besat Kermanshah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanat Naft beat Besat Kermanshah 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sanat Naft as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (67%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Sanat Naft vs Besat Kermanshah?

Sanat Naft 2-0 Besat Kermanshah in the Iran - Cup on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanat Naft vs Besat Kermanshah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanat Naft win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sanat Naft 56%, draw 24%, Besat Kermanshah 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanat Naft), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanat Naft) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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