13/02/2025
·
15:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Sanat Naft vs Besat Kermanshah Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.07
— our 43% vs market 39.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
28%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
24%
Draw
28%
20%
Away Win
18%
66%
Under 2.5
64%
34%
Over 2.5
36%
33%
BTTS Yes
38%
67%
BTTS No
62%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sanat Naft v Besat Kermanshah — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Sanat Naft
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Besat Kermanshah
EU Bookmakers 21%
+25% /
+25%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+150%
/
-21%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
13
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
4
339 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
269 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Sanat Naft vs Besat Kermanshah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sanat Naft beat Besat Kermanshah 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sanat Naft as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (67%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Sanat Naft vs Besat Kermanshah?
Sanat Naft 2-0 Besat Kermanshah in the Iran - Cup on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sanat Naft vs Besat Kermanshah?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sanat Naft win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sanat Naft 56%, draw 24%, Besat Kermanshah 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanat Naft), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Sanat Naft)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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IRANK
More Iran - Cup
13 Feb 2025