Shams Azar 1-2 Esteghlal FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Cup, 13 Feb 2025

📅13/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.09
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
13%
5.34
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
22%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.2pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.3pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-5.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.6pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shams Azar EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Esteghlal FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Shams Azar vs Esteghlal FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal FC nicked a narrow win over Shams Azar 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and on the day Esteghlal FC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Shams Azar vs Esteghlal FC?

Shams Azar 1-2 Esteghlal FC in the Iran - Cup on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shams Azar vs Esteghlal FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shams Azar win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Shams Azar 37%, draw 32%, Esteghlal FC 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shams Azar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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