Al Ahed 4-0 Tadamon Sour — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 13 Feb 2025

📅13/02/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
3%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-4.3pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.0pp
14%
Away Win
13%
+1.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.5pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Tadamon Sour EU Bookmakers 16%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +70% / +70%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+62% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
396 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Ahed vs Tadamon Sour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahed cruised past Tadamon Sour 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahed as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Al Ahed vs Tadamon Sour?

Al Ahed 4-0 Tadamon Sour in the Lebanon - Premier League on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahed vs Tadamon Sour?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahed win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Ahed 62%, draw 24%, Tadamon Sour 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahed), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahed) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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