13/02/2025
·
15:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
2-1
Al Ahed vs Tadamon Sour Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
3%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
24%
Draw
21%
14%
Away Win
13%
46%
Under 2.5
51%
54%
Over 2.5
49%
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
51%
BTTS No
58%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ahed v Tadamon Sour — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Ahed
EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY
Tadamon Sour
EU Bookmakers 16%
+16% /
+16%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+70% /
+70%
3.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/0.00
+62%
/
-37%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+150%
/
–
57%
Ball Possession
43%
13
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
396 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
277 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Ahed vs Tadamon Sour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Ahed cruised past Tadamon Sour 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahed as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
What was the final score of Al Ahed vs Tadamon Sour?
Al Ahed 4-0 Tadamon Sour in the Lebanon - Premier League on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ahed vs Tadamon Sour?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahed win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Ahed 62%, draw 24%, Tadamon Sour 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahed), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Al Ahed)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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LUBN
More Lebanon - Premier League
13 Feb 2025