13/02/2025
·
15:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
Al Ansar vs Bourj Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
53%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
82%
21%
Draw
11%
10%
Away Win
7%
46%
Under 2.5
41%
54%
Over 2.5
59%
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
62%
BTTS No
64%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ansar v Bourj — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Ansar
EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bourj
EU Bookmakers 9%
+14% /
+14%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+10%
/
+99%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
60%
Ball Possession
40%
19
Total Shots
6
8
Shots on Target
2
7
Corners
3
526 · 87%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
258 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Ansar vs Bourj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Ansar nicked a narrow win over Bourj 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ansar as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.
What was the final score of Al Ansar vs Bourj?
Al Ansar 1-0 Bourj in the Lebanon - Premier League on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ansar vs Bourj?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ansar win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Al Ansar 68%, draw 21%, Bourj 10%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ansar), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Ansar)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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LUBN
More Lebanon - Premier League
13 Feb 2025