Paraguay U20 1-0 Uruguay U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sudamericano U20, 13 Feb 2025

Paraguay U20
1-0 HT 0-0
Uruguay U20
📅13/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sudamericano U20 – 2025

Paraguay U20 vs Uruguay U20 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.04
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.85
No
61%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.01
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.49
6+ Goals
7%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 34% vs market 26.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
3%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
+0.8pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.0pp
48%
Away Win
54%
-5.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
50%
-10.9pp
61%
BTTS No
50%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paraguay U20 v Uruguay U20 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paraguay U20 EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Uruguay U20 EU Bookmakers 57%
+59% / +59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
0.94/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.30
+57% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 73%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
12.3 Crosses 33.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0

Paraguay U20 vs Uruguay U20 Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paraguay U20
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Uruguay U20
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.85 xG 1.93
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
323 Passes 284
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.01.2025 Uruguay U20 Uruguay U20 6-0 HT 3-0 Paraguay U20 Paraguay U20 SUD20
10.02.2023 Uruguay U20 Uruguay U20 1-0 HT 0-0 Paraguay U20 Paraguay U20 SUD20
02.02.2015 Uruguay U20 Uruguay U20 2-0 HT 2-0 Paraguay U20 Paraguay U20 SUD20

Paraguay U20 1-0 Uruguay U20 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paraguay U20
1-0
AWAY Uruguay U20
0.79 xG 1.17
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
123 Passes 293
52% Pass Accuracy 74%
8 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 26
7 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paraguay U20 vs Uruguay U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paraguay U20 edged past Uruguay U20 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Uruguay U20 at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Paraguay U20 had 37% of the ball to Uruguay U20's 63%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.79 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Uruguay U20 led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Paraguay U20 and 3.00 for Uruguay U20.

What was the final score of Paraguay U20 vs Uruguay U20?

Paraguay U20 1-0 Uruguay U20 in the Sudamericano U20 on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paraguay U20 vs Uruguay U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uruguay U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Paraguay U20 22%, draw 30%, Uruguay U20 48%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Uruguay U20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uruguay U20) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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