Uruguay U20 6-0 Paraguay U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sudamericano U20, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-10.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
35%
Away Win
25%
+10.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uruguay U20 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Paraguay U20 EU Bookmakers 29%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
3.99/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+150% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -54%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
Crosses 30.0
Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uruguay U20
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Paraguay U20
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.75 xG 0.84
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
361 Passes 272
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.02.2023 Uruguay U20 Uruguay U20 1-0 HT 0-0 Paraguay U20 Paraguay U20 SUD20
02.02.2015 Uruguay U20 Uruguay U20 2-0 HT 2-0 Paraguay U20 Paraguay U20 SUD20
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uruguay U20
6-0
AWAY Paraguay U20
3.10 xG 0.86
40% Ball Possession 60%
17 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
206 Passes 374
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uruguay U20 vs Paraguay U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uruguay U20 ran out comfortable winners over Paraguay U20 6-0. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Uruguay U20 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Uruguay U20 had 40% of the ball to Paraguay U20's 60%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 3.10 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Uruguay U20 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Uruguay U20 and 0.00 for Paraguay U20.

What was the final score of Uruguay U20 vs Paraguay U20?

Uruguay U20 6-0 Paraguay U20 in the Sudamericano U20 on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uruguay U20 vs Paraguay U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uruguay U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Uruguay U20 38%, draw 26%, Paraguay U20 35%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uruguay U20), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uruguay U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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