Şili U20 3-2 Peru U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sudamericano U20, 28 Jan 2025

Şili U20
3-2 HT 1-1
Peru U20
📅28/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sudamericano U20 – 2025

Şili U20 vs Peru U20 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.88
No
60%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
52%
-11.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.4pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Şili U20 v Peru U20 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şili U20 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Peru U20 EU Bookmakers 26%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.67
+69% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +50%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Şili U20 3-2 Peru U20 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Şili U20
3-2
AWAY Peru U20
2.92 xG 0.53
66% Ball Possession 34%
27 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 1
340 Passes 133
80% Pass Accuracy 58%
42 Box Touches 12
32 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Şili U20 vs Peru U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Şili U20 nicked a narrow win over Peru U20 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Şili U20 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Şili U20 had 66% of the ball to Peru U20's 34%, shots finished 27-6, expected goals 2.92 to 0.53 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Şili U20's control.

What was the final score of Şili U20 vs Peru U20?

Şili U20 3-2 Peru U20 in the Sudamericano U20 on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şili U20 vs Peru U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Şili U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Şili U20 40%, draw 28%, Peru U20 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Şili U20) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Şili U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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