Almere City vs Helmond Sport Prediction — Model Probabilities
Almere City v Helmond Sport — Team-Based Signals
Almere City vs Helmond Sport Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Almere City 0-1 Helmond Sport — Actual Match Statistics
Helmond Sport nicked a narrow win over Almere City 1-0 on their travels.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Almere City at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (61%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Almere City had 64% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 36%, shots finished 16-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Helmond Sport led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Almere City and 1.33 for Helmond Sport.
Almere City vs Helmond Sport Result & Final Score
Almere City 0 - 1 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Almere City vs Helmond Sport Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Almere City 69%, draw 17%, Helmond Sport 14%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.