Helmond Sport vs Almere City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Helmond Sport v Almere City — Team-Based Signals
Helmond Sport vs Almere City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Helmond Sport
HOL2
3-0
HT 1-0
Almere City
HOL2
3-0
HT 2-0
Helmond Sport
HOL2
1-2
HT 1-2
Almere City
HOL2
2-1
HT 1-0
Almere City
HOL2
2-0
HT 0-0
Helmond Sport
HOL2
Helmond Sport 2-1 Almere City — Actual Match Statistics
Helmond Sport squeezed past Almere City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Helmond Sport found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Helmond Sport had 46% of the ball to Almere City's 54%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.38 to 1.36.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almere City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Helmond Sport and 1.33 for Almere City.
What was the final score of Helmond Sport vs Almere City?
Helmond Sport 2-1 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Helmond Sport vs Almere City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Helmond Sport win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 38%, draw 24%, Almere City 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Helmond Sport), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.