AZ Alkmaar II 0-4 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.4
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
65%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.99
4-5 Goals
21%
2.51
6+ Goals
15%
5.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
10.3
1/2
6%
18.85
1/X
4%
18.8
X/1
6%
13.85
X/2 EV+ ✗
23%
4.14
X/X
9%
7.73
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
36%
1.68
2/X
6%
16.7
Value flag · X/2 at 4.14 — our 23% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
15%
+0.2pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.7pp
65%
Away Win
66%
-0.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 70%
+9% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.10/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/0.94
+45% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +2%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 82%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.8
7.4 Crosses 25.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
1W-2D-3L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.99 xG 1.72
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
328 Passes 330
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 28
8 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.03.2025 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-3 HT 0-3 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
22.11.2024 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 3-3 HT 0-3 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
23.12.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 1-2 HT 1-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
03.09.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 4-1 HT 2-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
19.05.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 0-2 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
09.09.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-2 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
0-4
AWAY ADO Den Haag
0.41 xG 1.22
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
334 Passes 278
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 34
6 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AZ Alkmaar II vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag cruised past AZ Alkmaar II 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, AZ Alkmaar II had 54% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 46%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.41 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for AZ Alkmaar II and 2.17 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar II vs ADO Den Haag?

AZ Alkmaar II 0-4 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar II vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated an ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 16%, draw 20%, ADO Den Haag 65%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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