ADO Den Haag 0-3 AZ Alkmaar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.51
Over 2.5
49%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
5.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.55
6+ Goals
10%
6.09
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.07 — our 25% vs market 14.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.67
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.6
X/1
15%
4.08
X/2
6%
14.0
X/X
12%
7.42
2/1
8%
19.3
2/2
8%
10.65
2/X
6%
18.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.2pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.1pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
36%
+14.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
64%
-14.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 18%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.69/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.71
-10% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
22.9 Crosses 8.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO Den Haag
4W-2D-0L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.63 xG 0.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 Passes 347
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.11.2024 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 3-3 HT 0-3 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
23.12.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 1-2 HT 1-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
03.09.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 4-1 HT 2-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
19.05.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 0-2 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
09.09.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-2 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
15.04.2022 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 0-1 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag
0-3
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
1.06 xG 1.72
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
331 Passes 233
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
41 Box Touches 25
36 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ADO Den Haag vs AZ Alkmaar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ Alkmaar II cruised past ADO Den Haag 3-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. ADO Den Haag carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, ADO Den Haag had 58% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 42%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.06 to 1.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for ADO Den Haag and 1.17 for AZ Alkmaar II.

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs AZ Alkmaar II?

ADO Den Haag 0-3 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs AZ Alkmaar II?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 55%, draw 26%, AZ Alkmaar II 19%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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