Roda vs Helmond Sport Prediction — Model Probabilities
Roda v Helmond Sport — Team-Based Signals
Roda vs Helmond Sport Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Roda 3-2 Helmond Sport — Actual Match Statistics
Roda squeezed past Helmond Sport 3-2. From 1-2 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
As we said in the preview, our model had Roda as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, Roda had 44% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 56%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.13 to 1.25.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Helmond Sport led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Roda and 1.83 for Helmond Sport.
Roda vs Helmond Sport Result & Final Score
Roda 3 - 2 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Roda vs Helmond Sport Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Roda 47%, draw 28%, Helmond Sport 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.