Ajax II 0-2 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 11 Mar 2025

Ajax II
0-2 HT 0-1
Emmen
📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Ajax II vs Emmen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
2.9
6+ Goals
10%
8.89
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.91 — our 26% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.79
1/2
9%
22.55
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
8%
7.14
X/2
10%
5.09
X/X
8%
5.21
2/1
10%
30.5
2/2
21%
2.84
2/X
9%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.6pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ajax II v Emmen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax II EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.45/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.15
+44% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
401 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
9.9 Crosses 18.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2

Ajax II vs Emmen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Emmen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.37 xG 1.55
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
350 Passes 336
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.11.2024 Emmen Emmen 4-2 HT 1-2 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
29.03.2024 Emmen Emmen 4-2 HT 0-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
15.09.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 3-3 HT 2-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
25.02.2022 Emmen Emmen 2-1 HT 0-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
06.12.2021 Ajax II Ajax II 1-0 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
13.04.2018 Ajax II Ajax II 3-2 HT 3-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2

Ajax II 0-2 Emmen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax II
0-2
AWAY Emmen
0.72 xG 1.22
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
414 Passes 280
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ajax II vs Emmen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emmen beat Ajax II 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Emmen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ajax II had 58% of the ball to Emmen's 42%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.72 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ajax II and 2.50 for Emmen.

What was the final score of Ajax II vs Emmen?

Ajax II 0-2 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax II vs Emmen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ajax II 35%, draw 25%, Emmen 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Emmen), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Emmen) ✓ BTTS No
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