Volendam 3-0 Telstar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
27%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
8.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.94
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
8%
12.2
X/1
12%
5.24
X/2
10%
6.95
X/X
10%
5.18
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.0
2/2
15%
4.56
2/X
7%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.0 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.7pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volendam EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Telstar EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.48/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.32
+2% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
20.3 Crosses 17.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Telstar
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.27 xG 1.51
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
382 Passes 309
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2024 Telstar Telstar 2-2 HT 1-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
09.01.2022 Volendam Volendam 2-1 HT 2-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
15.10.2021 Telstar Telstar 1-5 HT 1-4 Volendam Volendam HOL2
25.04.2021 Volendam Volendam 2-0 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
30.08.2020 Telstar Telstar 2-2 HT 2-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
14.02.2020 Volendam Volendam 1-1 HT 1-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
3-0
AWAY Telstar
0.96 xG 0.80
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
357 Passes 261
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH Volendam vs Telstar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volendam swept aside Telstar 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Volendam as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Volendam had 56% of the ball to Telstar's 44%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.96 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Volendam had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Volendam and 1.17 for Telstar.

What was the final score of Volendam vs Telstar?

Volendam 3-0 Telstar in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volendam vs Telstar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volendam win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Volendam 43%, draw 26%, Telstar 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Volendam), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Volendam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
11 Mar 2025
22:00 Roda vs Helmond Sport Analysis →
22:00 ADO Den Haag vs AZ Alkmaar II Analysis →
22:00 Ajax II vs Emmen Analysis →