AZ Alkmaar II 3-3 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 22 Nov 2024

AZ Alkmaar II
3-3 HT 0-3
ADO Den Haag
📅22/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

AZ Alkmaar II vs ADO Den Haag Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
45%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.51
Over 2.5
64%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.51
2-3 Goals
36%
2.02
4-5 Goals
30%
2.7
6+ Goals
16%
6.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.27
1/2
7%
20.95
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
10%
8.35
X/2
16%
4.81
X/X
9%
5.96
2/1
9%
33.0
2/2
23%
2.45
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-4.1pp
36%
Under 2.5
36%
+0.1pp
64%
Over 2.5
64%
-0.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.4pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AZ Alkmaar II v ADO Den Haag — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 54%
+6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +12%
1.08/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.08
+25% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +63%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
9.6 Crosses 19.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6

AZ Alkmaar II vs ADO Den Haag Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
0W-1D-5L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.76 xG 1.76
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
343 Passes 349
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.12.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 1-2 HT 1-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
03.09.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 4-1 HT 2-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
19.05.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 0-2 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
09.09.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-2 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
15.04.2022 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 0-1 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
10.12.2021 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 3-2 HT 1-2 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2

AZ Alkmaar II 3-3 ADO Den Haag — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
3-3
AWAY ADO Den Haag
1.13 xG 2.41
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 1
423 Passes 285
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 22
8 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AZ Alkmaar II vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ Alkmaar II and ADO Den Haag couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was ADO Den Haag at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, AZ Alkmaar II had 57% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 43%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 1.13 to 2.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AZ Alkmaar II and 2.33 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar II vs ADO Den Haag?

AZ Alkmaar II 3-3 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar II vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated an ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 32%, draw 23%, ADO Den Haag 45%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ADO Den Haag) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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