PSV II 1-4 Volendam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
44%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
4.0
Over 2.5
62%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.32
No
38%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
10.2
2-3 Goals
33%
2.59
4-5 Goals
29%
2.35
6+ Goals
19%
3.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.24
1/2
11%
16.55
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
14.85
X/1
12%
10.95
X/2
13%
4.58
X/X
7%
8.56
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
1.94
2/X
8%
14.8
Value flag · 1/X at 14.85 — our 11% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+7.2pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.6pp
44%
Away Win
58%
-13.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
22%
+16.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
78%
-16.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
72%
-9.9pp
38%
BTTS No
28%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV II EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Volendam EU Bookmakers 62%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.11/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.11
+26% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 82%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.6
13.0 Crosses 21.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Volendam
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.16 xG 1.85
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
394 Passes 409
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.04.2022 PSV II PSV II 2-2 HT 1-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
10.12.2021 Volendam Volendam 3-2 HT 2-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
07.05.2021 PSV II PSV II 0-1 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL2
16.10.2020 Volendam Volendam 5-1 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
17.01.2020 Volendam Volendam 4-2 HT 1-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
04.10.2019 PSV II PSV II 3-1 HT 1-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV II
1-4
AWAY Volendam
0.98 xG 3.62
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
538 Passes 304
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 37
16 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSV II vs Volendam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volendam swept aside PSV II 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Volendam as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, PSV II had 62% of the ball to Volendam's 38%, shots finished 15-24, expected goals 0.98 to 3.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Volendam led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for PSV II and 2.67 for Volendam.

What was the final score of PSV II vs Volendam?

PSV II 1-4 Volendam in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV II vs Volendam?

Before kick-off our model rated an Volendam win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split PSV II 30%, draw 26%, Volendam 44%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Volendam), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Volendam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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