Vitesse 0-6 Cambuur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
3.08
6+ Goals
11%
9.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.48
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
23.85
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
8%
6.72
X/2
15%
4.96
X/X
10%
5.35
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
21%
2.94
2/X
7%
13.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.85 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.4pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitesse EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambuur EU Bookmakers 48%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
0.55/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.35
-30% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
12.0 Crosses 18.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitesse
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Cambuur
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.84 xG 1.13
49% Ball Possession 51%
20 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
330 Passes 334
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
07.02.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 3-1 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOK
14.05.2023 Vitesse Vitesse 2-0 HT 0-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
15.10.2022 Cambuur Cambuur 0-3 HT 0-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
10.04.2022 Vitesse Vitesse 1-0 HT 1-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
04.12.2021 Cambuur Cambuur 1-6 HT 1-3 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
16.01.2016 Cambuur Cambuur 0-2 HT 0-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitesse
0-6
AWAY Cambuur
1.45 xG 2.05
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 0
357 Passes 314
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vitesse vs Cambuur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambuur swept aside Vitesse 6-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cambuur as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Vitesse had 53% of the ball to Cambuur's 47%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.45 to 2.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitesse had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Vitesse and 0.67 for Cambuur.

What was the final score of Vitesse vs Cambuur?

Vitesse 0-6 Cambuur in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitesse vs Cambuur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 31%, draw 25%, Cambuur 44%. The final score 0-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambuur), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cambuur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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