Ajax II 3-0 Telstar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.33
Over 2.5
45%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.49
No
53%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
21%
2.83
6+ Goals
10%
7.62
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.93 — our 31% vs market 15.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.61
1/2
9%
22.1
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
10%
7.23
X/2
17%
4.97
X/X
9%
5.74
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
18%
2.74
2/X
9%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
39%
+15.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
61%
-15.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
63%
-15.8pp
53%
BTTS No
37%
+15.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax II EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Telstar EU Bookmakers 49%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.50/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.78
+32% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +60%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
10.9 Crosses 19.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Telstar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.74 xG 1.58
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
428 Passes 248
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2024 Ajax II Ajax II 0-3 HT 0-2 Telstar Telstar HOL2
29.09.2023 Telstar Telstar 3-2 HT 1-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
07.04.2023 Telstar Telstar 2-3 HT 0-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
08.08.2022 Ajax II Ajax II 1-1 HT 1-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
23.01.2022 Telstar Telstar 1-0 HT 1-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
01.11.2021 Ajax II Ajax II 3-0 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax II
3-0
AWAY Telstar
1.82 xG 0.98
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
288 Passes 387
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ajax II vs Telstar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax II cruised past Telstar 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Telstar at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ajax II had 43% of the ball to Telstar's 57%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.82 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Telstar led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ajax II and 1.67 for Telstar.

What was the final score of Ajax II vs Telstar?

Ajax II 3-0 Telstar in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax II vs Telstar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Telstar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ajax II 31%, draw 26%, Telstar 43%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Telstar), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Telstar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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