VVV-Venlo 0-2 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.03
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.6
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
23.0
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
9%
8.01
X/2
18%
4.57
X/X
13%
5.2
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.55
2/X
8%
13.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.0 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
26%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen EU Bookmakers 53%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.11/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.00
+7% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
19.7 Crosses 16.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VVV-Venlo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Emmen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.81 xG 2.18
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
264 Passes 463
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-0 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
18.08.2023 Emmen Emmen 2-2 HT 1-2 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
11.01.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-3 HT 0-2 Emmen Emmen HOK
19.03.2022 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-2 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
29.10.2021 Emmen Emmen 1-0 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
16.05.2021 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-4 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VVV-Venlo
0-2
AWAY Emmen
1.68 xG 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
364 Passes 277
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH VVV-Venlo vs Emmen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emmen got the better of VVV-Venlo 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Emmen as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, VVV-Venlo had 55% of the ball to Emmen's 45%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 1.68 to 1.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for VVV-Venlo and 2.00 for Emmen.

What was the final score of VVV-Venlo vs Emmen?

VVV-Venlo 0-2 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VVV-Venlo vs Emmen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split VVV-Venlo 24%, draw 28%, Emmen 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Emmen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Emmen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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