MVV Maastricht 2-1 Dordrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.63
Over 2.5
60%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.33
2-3 Goals
34%
2.13
4-5 Goals
29%
2.57
6+ Goals
15%
5.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.28
1/2
7%
21.4
1/X
4%
12.4
X/1
8%
7.37
X/2
16%
5.38
X/X
11%
6.1
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
23%
2.77
2/X
8%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
-0.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
34%
+5.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
66%
-5.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.8pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MVV Maastricht EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +19%
1.19/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.14
-7% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
16.9 Crosses 14.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MVV Maastricht
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dordrecht
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.49 xG 1.81
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
338 Passes 347
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2024 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-3 HT 0-3 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
25.08.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-2 HT 0-1 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
14.04.2023 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 2-1 HT 1-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
23.09.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 1-2 HT 1-1 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
25.02.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 3-1 HT 0-1 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
15.10.2021 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 2-1 HT 2-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MVV Maastricht
2-1
AWAY Dordrecht
1.57 xG 0.58
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
291 Passes 417
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH MVV Maastricht vs Dordrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MVV Maastricht nicked a narrow win over Dordrecht 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Dordrecht at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, MVV Maastricht had 43% of the ball to Dordrecht's 57%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.57 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MVV Maastricht had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for MVV Maastricht and 1.83 for Dordrecht.

What was the final score of MVV Maastricht vs Dordrecht?

MVV Maastricht 2-1 Dordrecht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MVV Maastricht vs Dordrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 31%, draw 23%, Dordrecht 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dordrecht) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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